Best plays from Ohio State-Iowa college football week 5
Highlights include key moments and reactions from the Week 5 matchup between Ohio State and Iowa.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 76% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 75% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 76% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 75% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 3 October at 16:30 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 78%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Iowa college football team secures at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
- Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) — resolved “Ohio State” on 3 Oct 2026. Ohio State wins if they beat Iowa by 15 or more points. Iowa wins if Ohio State fails to cover that spread. Readers often mistake the final score for the margin, but the point difference determines the outcome.
- Iowa — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Iowa finishes the 2026 college football regular season without any losses. The outcome depends solely on the team's win-loss record during that specific season, not on individual game scores or bowl results. Readers often mistake the resolution trigger for a single game victory rather than the entire regular-season performance.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 8+ wins 78%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) Ohio State 1h ago
The market favoured Iowa at 53% a day out, but Ohio State won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iowa 2% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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