Ballon d'Or 2026 Race Heats Up as Kane, Yamal and Mbappe Lead Contenders Hot: Odds moved 29 points in 24 hours
Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Ousmane Dembele are among the leading candidates for the award to be presented in London on October 26.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lionel Messi 74% +29
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Harry Kane 59% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
All 5 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 1% |
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How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published.
- SI FeedFive Reasons Why Ousmane Dembele Should Win the 2026 Ballon d’Or
- SI FeedFive Reasons Why Kylian Mbappe Should Win the Ballon d’Or
- SI FeedFive Reasons Why Lamine Yamal Should Win the 2026 Ballon d’Or
- SI FeedFive Reasons Why Lionel Messi Should Win the Ballon d’Or
- SkySportsBallon d'Or: Kane, Yamal, Mbappe and the main runners and riders assessed
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Ballon d'Or: Kane, Yamal, Mbappe and the main runners and riders assessed SkySports
- Five Reasons Why Lionel Messi Should Win the Ballon d’Or SI Feed
- Five Reasons Why Lamine Yamal Should Win the 2026 Ballon d’Or SI Feed
- Five Reasons Why Kylian Mbappe Should Win the Ballon d’Or SI Feed
- Five Reasons Why Ousmane Dembele Should Win the 2026 Ballon d’Or SI Feed
In this story
- Harry Kane
- Lamine Yamal
- Kylian Mbappe
- Lionel Messi
- Ousmane Dembele