Harry Kane
Implied probability 59%−2
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$1.7M
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 24 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 59% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Sept, 15:52 UTC | 61% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 60% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Sept, 19:26 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Harry Kane wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific prize. Readers often mistake the general race for the actual award announcement, which is the only event that matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 59%
- No 41%