August Inflation Hits 3.4 Percent as Cost of Living Concerns Persist
Annual inflation reached 3.4 percent in August 2026, yet daily living costs remain high despite the lower headline rate.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:15 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 30 September at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Stagflation — the market puts it at 4%, closing 13 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports an unemployment rate of at least 5% and a CPI-U 12-month percent change of at least 3.5% for December 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked August inflation headline as the deciding factor instead of the specific December 2026 data.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Stagflation 4%
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