Arkansas Republican Westerman Bows Out of Natural Resources Race
The Arkansas Republican steps down from the House committee role he has held for six years.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 11 Nov, 20:15 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Nov, 21:30 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 92% |
| 9 Nov, 02:13 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 04:31 UTC | 89% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. Politico Congress published first, on 9 November at 22:01 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Republican party — the market puts it at 85%, with $12 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Arkansas Senator for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if no Republican takes that specific seat. Readers often mistake the swearing-in date for the election date, but only the official oath-taking matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Republican party · Arkansas Senate winner? (2028) 85% −1
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In this story
- Westerman
- Arkansas
- GOP