Argentina Hosts Bolivia in First Match Under New Era for La Albiceleste Hot: $73k traded on its market in 24 hours
The team plays its first match since the 2026 World Cup final defeat.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 30 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 30 September at 21:00 UTC ; CNET followed 3 min later. The most recent article, from CNET, appeared on 30 September at 21:03 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CNET.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-30? — the market puts it at 3%, with $73k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Sept 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if Bolivia wins the match scheduled for September 30, 2026, and "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle time for the deadline, but the market remains open if the game is postponed.
- Argentina vs. Bolivia: Both Teams to Score — the market puts it at 36%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Sept 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if both Argentina and Bolivia score at least one goal during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The No outcome applies if either team fails to score any goals in that period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just the standard match duration.
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Bolivia? — the market puts it at 2%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Sept 2026. The "Yes" outcome occurs if the match ends with a final score of exactly 1-1 after 90 minutes of regulation and stoppage time. The "No" outcome applies to any other result, including draws other than 1-1 or wins for either side. Readers often mistake the inclusion of extra time or penalty shoot-outs as part of the final score, but these are explicitly excluded from the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-30? 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Argentina vs. Bolivia: Both Teams to Score 36% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Bolivia? 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 11:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 02:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 3% |
Email me when the odds move
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
In this story
- Argentina
- Bolivia
- Lionel Scaloni