Will Bolivia win on 2026-09-30?
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$79k
Total volume$85k
Liquidity$134k
Resolves30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 11:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 10:14 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 06:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 05:38 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 04:20 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 02:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 3% |
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Bolivia wins the match scheduled for September 30, 2026, and "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake the final whistle time for the deadline, but the market remains open if the game is postponed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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