Aran Murphy Stars in HBO Shows and Taika Waititi Film
The 19-year-old actor co-stars on two HBO series and plays a lead in the upcoming dystopian film Klara and the Sun.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 18 October at 18:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Cillian Murphy — the market puts it at 2%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Cillian Murphy is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake any role he plays in a spy film for this outcome, but only the official James Bond casting counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Cillian Murphy 2%
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In this story
- Aran Murphy
- Cillian
- Taika Waititi