Cillian Murphy
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cillian Murphy is officially cast as the next James Bond before January 1, 2030. It resolves to No if that specific casting does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake any role he plays in a spy film for this outcome, but only the official James Bond casting counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%