Apple Cuts iPhone 18 Pro Component Orders Amid Soft Demand
Orders for iPhone 18 Pro parts have dropped approximately 15% in October due to weaker consumer interest.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 9 Oct 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 9 October at 10:04 UTC; Quartz followed 7h 27m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 9 October at 17:31 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: MarketWatch, Quartz.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $662 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Apple publicly releases the iPhone 18 before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a smart home hub for the relevant event, but only the iPhone 18 launch counts.
- iPhone 18 — the market puts it at 93%, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 12 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if an Apple representative mentions iPhone 18 during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if that specific term is not spoken by any representative in that setting. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of product release rather than a check for verbal mention during the call.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2027 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi iPhone 18 93% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Apple
- Nikkei Asia