iPhone 18
Implied probability 93%−2
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves12 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 93% |
| 8 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 93% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if an Apple representative mentions iPhone 18 during the upcoming earnings call or its question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if that specific term is not spoken by any representative in that setting. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of product release rather than a check for verbal mention during the call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 93%
- No 7%