Anthropic Valuation Clarified Amid Rumours of $1.2tn Figure
The AI company addresses speculation regarding its August valuation, clarifying that it did not value itself at $1.2 trillion.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 21:15 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 19% |
| 23 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 17% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 17% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 17% |
| 16 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 17% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 26% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 27% |
| 6 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 27% |
| 21 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 27% |
| 19 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 26% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 30 October at 12:36 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? — the market puts it at 21%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of at least $3.0 trillion for Anthropic on any date through December 31, 2026. If an IPO occurs, the resolution uses the official listing price and subsequent public market capitalization instead.
- Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? — the market puts it at 53%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves based on the implied fully diluted valuation at the IPO price stated in the final prospectus filed with the SEC. Readers often mistake the opening stock price or preliminary price ranges for the official valuation, but only the final prospectus counts. The deadline is December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? 21% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? 53% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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