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Andrew Garfield Honored at Santa Barbara Film Festival

The actor receives the Maltin Modern Master Award and discusses his upcoming role as OpenAI CEO Sam Altman in Luca Guadagnino’s 'Artificial'.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 20 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Andrew Garfield
0%50%100%5%13 Oct, 21:03 UTCnowVariety: Andrew Garfield to Be Honored at Santa Barbara Film Festival · 20 Oct, 17:00 UTCDeadline: Andrew Garfield To Receive Santa Barbara Film Festival Maltin Modern Master Award · 20 Oct, 17:11 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC5%
18 Oct, 06:09 UTC8%
17 Oct, 16:31 UTC10%
17 Oct, 13:41 UTC6%
16 Oct, 15:52 UTC8%
14 Oct, 23:21 UTC12%
14 Oct, 21:13 UTC11%
14 Oct, 20:38 UTC9%
13 Oct, 23:39 UTC7%
13 Oct, 22:38 UTC6%
13 Oct, 22:11 UTC7%
13 Oct, 21:03 UTC4%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 20 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 20 October at 17:00 UTC; Deadline followed 11 min later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 20 October at 17:11 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Deadline.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 5%, with $583 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Garfield receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not receive such a nomination. Readers often mistake the release of the film or general buzz for a nomination, but only an official Academy nomination counts.
  • Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 28%, with $324 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Garfield wins the Best Supporting Actor award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the deadline for the ceremony date rather than the official announcement time.
  • Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 14%, closing 3 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Andrew Garfield wins Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for this specific Critics Choice Award.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Andrew Garfield to Be Honored at Santa Barbara Film Festival Variety ·
  2. Andrew Garfield To Receive Santa Barbara Film Festival Maltin Modern Master Award Deadline

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Andrew Garfield 5% −3 $583 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Andrew Garfield 28% −5 $324 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Andrew Garfield 14% $0 24hends 3 Jan 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Andrew Garfield
  • Santa Barbara International Film Festival
  • Leonard Maltin
  • Luca Guadagnino
  • Sam Altman
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