Andrew Garfield
Implied probability 27%−2
24-hour volume$25
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 28% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 24% |
| 7 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 26% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 26% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Garfield wins the Best Supporting Actor award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the deadline for the ceremony date rather than the official announcement time.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 27%
- No 73%