Alberta Leader Faces Backlash After Winning Referendum Vote to Remain in Canada
Danielle Smith faces criticism from separatists and opposition parties after Alberta voters approved staying in Canada.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 09:26 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 15:39 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 13:33 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Nov, 03:16 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 12:24 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 06:14 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 01:31 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 21:21 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 13% |
| 18 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 10% |
| 18 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 16% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 16% |
| 17 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Oct, 07:34 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 15% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 12% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Nov 2026. News Feed published first, on 9 November at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before the next general election — the market puts it at 8%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Oct 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Alberta votes to secede from Canada before the next Canadian federal general election. It resolves to No if that vote does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Carney for the actual resolution event, but only a formal vote on secession counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before the next general election 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Alert me when the odds move
In this story
- Danielle Smith
- Alberta