ABC Alleges FCC Evaded Judicial Review in License Renewal Move Hot: Odds moved 21 points in 24 hours
The broadcaster claims the agency's early license renewal demand was designed to circumvent judicial review in its ongoing First Amendment lawsuit.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 12 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 69% |
| 12 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 72% |
| 8 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 90% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 70% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Variety published first, on 12 October at 20:14 UTC; Deadline followed 2h 36m later. The most recent article, from Deadline, appeared on 12 October at 22:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Deadline.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 69%, with $153 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if a federal court stops the FCC's early ABC license renewal process through an injunction, vacatur, or stay before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such legal action occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the court case rather than the specific cutoff date of January 1, 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2027 69% −21
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In this story
- ABC
- FCC
- Brendan Carr