Before 2027
Implied probability 64%+1
24-hour volume$253
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 70% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a federal court stops the FCC's early ABC license renewal process through an injunction, vacatur, or stay before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such legal action occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the court case rather than the specific cutoff date of January 1, 2027.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%