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Aaron Judge Working to Return for Yankees' ALDS vs Rays After Missing Wild Card Sweep

The three-time MVP aims to rejoin the roster against Tampa Bay after missing New York's playoff opener.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 22m ago

First reported by SI Feed, 54 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Aaron Judge
0%50%100%4%1 Oct, 18:41 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Yankees in wait-and-see mode on Judge availability for ALDS · 2 Oct, 21:26 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Will Aaron Judge be on Yankees' ALDS roster vs. Rays? Three-time MVP working to return from calf injury · 2 Oct, 18:54 UTCSI Feed: 5 Reasons Why the Yankees Shouldn't Keep Aaron Judge off the ALDS Roster · 2 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
2 Oct, 19:23 UTC4%
1 Oct, 18:41 UTC4%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 2 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 October at 18:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 54 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 2 October at 21:26 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Aaron Judge — the market puts it at 4%, with $112 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Judge is named the World Series Most Valuable Player for the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not receive that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on his regular-season performance or a different year's championship.
  • Aaron Judge — the market puts it at 1%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Aaron Judge wins the 2026 American League MVP award; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about batting practice for a resolution event, but only the official MVP title matters.
  • Aaron Judge — the market puts it at 1%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Aaron Judge wins the Hank Aaron Award for the 2026 MLB season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the award year or assume a different award counts, but only the Hank Aaron Award for the 2026 season matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Aaron Judge at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI Feed5 Reasons Why the Yankees Shouldn't Keep Aaron Judge off the ALDS Roster4%
  2. CBS Sports HeadlinesWill Aaron Judge be on Yankees' ALDS roster vs. Rays? Three-time MVP working to return from calf injury4%
  3. www.espn.comYankees in wait-and-see mode on Judge availability for ALDS4%
  4. Current odds4%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Yankees in wait-and-see mode on Judge availability for ALDS www.espn.com ·
  2. Will Aaron Judge be on Yankees' ALDS roster vs. Rays? Three-time MVP working to return from calf injury CBS Sports Headlines
  3. 5 Reasons Why the Yankees Shouldn't Keep Aaron Judge off the ALDS Roster SI Feed

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Aaron Judge 4% $112 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Aaron Judge 1% $1 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Aaron Judge 1% $0 24hends 8 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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