Aaron Judge
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$112
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves8 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aaron Judge is named the World Series Most Valuable Player for the 2026 season. It resolves to No if he does not receive that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on his regular-season performance or a different year's championship.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%