Thousands of Yemenis flee to Djibouti as Houthi offensive displaces over 100,000

The United Nations reports that more than 100,000 people have been displaced in Yemen by fighting between government forces and Houthis, with thousands crossing into Djibouti.

2 publishers · 10 articles · first seen 13 Sept 2026 · updated 39d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	0%
1 Oct, 02:21 UTC	1%
1 Oct, 00:44 UTC	0%
1 Oct, 00:08 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 23:06 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 22:59 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 21:23 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 18:54 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 12:31 UTC	1%
30 Sept, 01:23 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 19:54 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 16:54 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 13:35 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 12:33 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 12:26 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 06:12 UTC	1%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC	1%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC	1%
28 Sept, 14:06 UTC	2%
28 Sept, 13:30 UTC	3%
28 Sept, 13:20 UTC	3%
28 Sept, 09:57 UTC	2%
28 Sept, 08:17 UTC	2%
26 Sept, 12:13 UTC	2%
26 Sept, 11:10 UTC	2%
26 Sept, 10:50 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 21:07 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 20:25 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 19:53 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 19:25 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 17:52 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 17:13 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 16:58 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 16:19 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 08:13 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 07:42 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 05:56 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 04:11 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 03:57 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 03:24 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 02:53 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 02:06 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 01:46 UTC	2%
25 Sept, 01:13 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 23:39 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 17:02 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 15:03 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 14:28 UTC	2%
24 Sept, 06:22 UTC	3%
24 Sept, 05:54 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 03:46 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 03:20 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 02:44 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 02:25 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 01:14 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 00:41 UTC	4%
24 Sept, 00:09 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 23:34 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 23:02 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 22:48 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 22:27 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 21:50 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 20:34 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 20:27 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 19:54 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 18:54 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 18:25 UTC	4%
23 Sept, 17:59 UTC	4%
21 Sept, 02:27 UTC	5%
21 Sept, 01:48 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 16:29 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 15:28 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 07:46 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 07:29 UTC	5%
20 Sept, 06:58 UTC	6%
20 Sept, 01:31 UTC	7%
20 Sept, 01:11 UTC	8%
20 Sept, 00:34 UTC	10%
19 Sept, 23:52 UTC	11%
19 Sept, 22:48 UTC	11%
19 Sept, 17:01 UTC	8%
19 Sept, 12:27 UTC	9%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC	10%
17 Sept, 14:51 UTC	13%
17 Sept, 02:16 UTC	14%
16 Sept, 14:12 UTC	14%
16 Sept, 13:02 UTC	16%
16 Sept, 12:33 UTC	17%
16 Sept, 12:18 UTC	15%
16 Sept, 01:00 UTC	16%
16 Sept, 00:00 UTC	16%
15 Sept, 23:40 UTC	16%
15 Sept, 21:55 UTC	17%
15 Sept, 12:53 UTC	14%
14 Sept, 12:53 UTC	17%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 13 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 13 September at 04:40 UTC; France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines followed 29h 42m later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 19 September at 15:31 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.

2 prediction markets price this story:

Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? — resolved “No” on 2 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Houthi military forces physically enter any of the specified districts of Aden by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. Bombardment, naval presence, or diplomatic visits do not count as entry. Readers often mistake threats or claims of entry for actual physical presence.
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Houthi military forces physically enter any part of Saudi Arabia by 11:59 PM ET on September 30. Bombardment, naval presence, or diplomatic visits do not count as entry. Readers often mistake missile strikes or official claims for actual ground entry.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

13 Sept, 04:40Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera 1,400 Yemenis flee to Djibouti within 24 hours—
13 Sept, 14:38Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera More than 2,000 Yemenis flee to Djibouti amid Houthi advances—
14 Sept, 10:22France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines ‘They drove us from our land’: Thousands displaced by Yemen conflict—
15 Sept, 12:43Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Thousands flee to Djibouti amid renewed Yemen fighting17%
15 Sept, 17:39Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera More than 100,000 displaced as they flee violence in Yemen: UN14%▼3 points since the previous source
16 Sept, 12:10Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Taiz camps overflow with Yemenis fleeing fighting after Houthi offensive16%▲2 points since the previous source
16 Sept, 15:00France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines More than 100,000 flee fighting in Yemen: UN14%▼1 points since the previous source
16 Sept, 15:16Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Djibouti calls for assistance as thousands of Yemenis flee to country14%
17 Sept, 21:27Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Yemenis recount journey to Djibouti as refugee arrivals surge13%▼2 points since the previous source
19 Sept, 15:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Djibouti refugee crisis worsens as more than 2,700 Yemenis arrive9%▼4 points since the previous source
2 Oct, 08:38Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 4 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? No 26d ago

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30? No 27d ago

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Djibouti
Yemen
Houthis
United Nations

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