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How much the press wrote about Qatar each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 12:05 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 05:34 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 02:47 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 01:11 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 23:58 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 23:05 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 19:49 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 16:55 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 14:41 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 12:27 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 10:02 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 09:56 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 08:47 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 4% |
| 17 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 6% |
Qatar facilitates shuttle diplomacy to restart negotiations between the US and Iran while Bessent meets China's He for separate talks.
Polymarket US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? 6% +3Iran secure the men's basketball bronze medal while Japan manages logistical challenges and early competitions across the host cities.
The Gulf state establishes a dedicated platform to manage its sovereign wealth fund's domestic portfolio, marking a significant shift in its investment strategy.