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How much the press wrote about Moonshot AI each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 15% |
OpenAI pursues a $30 billion private funding round at a $1.4 trillion valuation while firing three safety researchers for policy violations.
Polymarket Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? 15% −2OpenAI confronts legal action from Hugging Face, accusations from Moonshot, and government breaches in Australia and Canada as it establishes a taskforce to manage AI cyber risks.
The company says it identified and mitigated a campaign by individuals linked to the Chinese developer to extract protected reasoning from its models.
Kalshi OpenAI 20% −3