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How much the press wrote about Isaias each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 09:38 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 05:52 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 9% |
The National Hurricane Center confirms Isaias has intensified into a major hurricane with 120 mph winds as it approaches the northern Gulf coast.
Polymarket Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane? 10% −3Isaias strengthens into a hurricane while a judge mandates the preservation of evidence from Christa Pike's botched execution.
Kalshi Isaias 99%Shell, Chevron and Harbour Energy cut production as the storm approaches, putting 512,000 barrels daily at risk.
Kalshi Category 3 or above 99% +52