Tech Rout and Middle East Tensions Drive Global Stock Declines and Oil Surge
AI stock slumps and rising oil prices due to Middle East hostilities dragged major US indices lower while bonds rallied.
Kalshi 29,500 to 29,999.99 8%Houthis
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Markets on Houthis
- Kalshi 29,500 to 29,999.99 8%
- Polymarket Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? 10% +1
- Polymarket Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? 24% +5
- Polymarket Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? 1%
- Polymarket Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? 65% +2
- Polymarket Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? 8%
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Houthis each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
Stories
Houthi Siege of Taiz and Strikes in Yemen Displace 260,000
Yemeni government forces clash with Houthis as the siege of Taiz cuts off supplies and missile attacks kill dozens in Shabwa.
Polymarket Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? 10% +1US Orders Diplomats to Leave Saudi Arabia Amid Houthi Attacks
The US State Department ordered non-emergency personnel to depart Saudi Arabia after Houthi militants killed at least three people in strikes on an airport and an oil field.
Polymarket Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? 10% +1