The day in one page: what moved and why, what the market saw coming, where it disagreed with the news, and what resolved.
Polls and analysts predict Democratic gains in the upcoming midterms, driven by voter dissatisfaction with President Trump and Republican messaging failures.
Kalshi Republican Party 5%+41 after The Guardian US: Katie Zacharia fired after five days as White House press secretary – reports
On: Brewers Sweep Dodgers to Reach First World Series Since 1982
+4 after SI Feed: 4 Burning Questions Facing the Browns This Week
On: Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid Amid Reelection Campaign
On: West Indies level T20 series with India as Shai Hope hits century
On: Netanyahu faces opposition and legal challenges as Israel election nears
odds −33 in the day before the first report · +2 after
odds +24 in the day before the first report · −4 after
odds +13 in the day before the first report · +7 after
odds +10 in the day before the first report · +1 after
odds +6 in the day before the first report · −4 after
odds +6 in the day before the first report · −4 after
odds +5 in the day before the first report · −1 after
odds +5 in the day before the first report · 0 after
16 publishers in 24 hours · odds up 3 points
12 publishers in 24 hours · odds unchanged
8 publishers in 24 hours · odds up 2 points
7 publishers in 24 hours · odds up 1 point
6 publishers in 24 hours · odds up 3 points
6 publishers in 24 hours · odds up 3 points
+6 new publishers
+5 new publishers
+4 new publishers
+3 new publishers
+3 new publishers
+3 new publishers
+3 new publishers
+2 new publishers
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