Before Oct 20, 2026
Why it moved: +5 points at 16:19 UTC, after The Guardian US: Loves Trump, lies and conspiracies: Katie Zacharia is the perfect presidential press secretary | Arwa Mahdawi — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Katie Zacharia leaves her role as White House Press Secretary before October 20, 2026. It resolves to No if she remains in that position through that date. Readers often mistake the announcement of her appointment for the resolution event, but only her departure triggers a Yes outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%