Zverev Sets Up Djokovic Clash as Kartal Advances at China Open Hot: Odds moved 14 points in 24 hours
Alexander Zverev defeats Juncheng Shang to reach the quarter-finals, while Sonay Kartal advances in Beijing.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 40% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 45% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 42% |
| 30 Sept, 06:44 UTC | 36% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 3 October at 14:47 UTC; BBC Sport followed 40 min later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 3 October at 15:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Alexander Zverev — the market puts it at 40%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 9 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Beijing professional tennis tournament. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked China Open match for the relevant tournament, but only the Beijing title matters.
- China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang — resolved “Alexander Zverev” on 3 Oct 2026.
- Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings — the market puts it at 90%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Jan 2027. Yes resolves if Alexander Zverev finishes as World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings published by the ATP Tour. The market closes on January 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET if the rankings are not yet determined or published. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the tennis season rather than the specific date in early 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Alexander Zverev 40% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang Alexander Zverev 2h ago
The market favoured Alexander Zverev at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings 90% +14
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Wrong market?
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In this story
- Sonay Kartal
- Alexander Zverev
- Novak Djokovic
- Juncheng Shang