Novak Djokovic
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$933
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved9 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −20 points at 13:12 UTC, after BBC Sport: Djokovic suffers surprise Hurkacz loss in Shanghai — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 21% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked China Open victory for the deciding factor, but only the Shanghai tournament result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%