Zach Bryan Releases New EP 'Young Manhood and Other Donatable Organs' Featuring Lana Del Rey Hot: Odds moved 30 points in 24 hours
The eight-track collection includes collaborations with Lana Del Rey and Turnpike Troubadours.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Billboard, 5 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 36% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 52% |
| 15 Oct, 14:50 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 03:32 UTC | 21% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Zach Bryan respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 16 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 16 October at 04:00 UTC; Consequence followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 16 October at 04:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Billboard, Consequence, RSS: News, Rolling Stone.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Zach Bryan — the market puts it at 52%, with $186 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Zach Bryan has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this requirement by that date. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline as the end of the calendar year rather than the specific Billboard issue date.
- Zach Bryan — the market puts it at 9%, with $119 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Dec 2026. For the market to resolve to Yes, Zach Bryan must have a song ranked number one on the Billboard Hot 100 chart by the issue dated for the week of December 26, 2026. This includes songs where he is featured as a guest artist. Readers often mistake the release date of his new EP for the deadline, but only the specific Billboard chart issue matters.
- Zach Bryan — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Zach Bryan ranks as the top artist on Spotify's 2026 Wrapped chart when it releases in late 2026. The outcome is No if he does not hold that number one spot at that time. Readers often mistake the release date of the linked EP for the resolution deadline, but only the official Spotify Wrapped chart matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Zach Bryan at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BillboardZach Bryan’s ‘Young Manhood And Other Donatable Organs’: Stream It Now52%
- ConsequenceZach Bryan Releases Young Manhood and Other Donatable Organs EP: Stream52%
- RSS: NewsLana Del Rey Joins Zach Bryan on New Song “Lies”52%
- Rolling StoneZach Bryan Links Up With Lana Del Rey for Delicate Duet ‘Lies’52%
- Current odds52%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Zach Bryan Links Up With Lana Del Rey for Delicate Duet ‘Lies’ Rolling Stone
- Lana Del Rey Joins Zach Bryan on New Song “Lies” RSS: News
- Zach Bryan Releases Young Manhood and Other Donatable Organs EP: Stream Consequence
- Zach Bryan’s ‘Young Manhood And Other Donatable Organs’: Stream It Now Billboard
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Zach Bryan 52% +30
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Zach Bryan 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Zach Bryan 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Zach Bryan
- Lana Del Rey
- Turnpike Troubadours