Yankees Face Hot Seat Questions After ALDS Sweep by Rays Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours
The Yankees' playoff elimination sparks debate over Aaron Boone's strategy and the future of Aaron Judge.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 13% |
| 8 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 12:17 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Oct, 04:58 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 03:40 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 07:41 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 39% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 7 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 7 October at 11:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 16h 21m later. The most recent article, from feeds.bleacherreport.com, appeared on 8 October at 04:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? — the market puts it at 0%, with $16k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Yankees are eliminated from contention before the series concludes. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Rays for a resolution, but only the final winner of the ALCS determines the result.
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? — the market puts it at 0%, with $25k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome requires the New York Yankees to win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Yankees are eliminated from playoff contention. Readers often mistake a player injury, such as Aaron Judge's calf strain, for a resolution trigger, but only the final series winner or official MLB elimination status matters.
- Will Tampa Bay Rays advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? — the market puts it at 100%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Tampa Bay Rays reach the American League Championship Series in the 2026 MLB Playoffs. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past October 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked headline as the final answer, but resolution depends on official MLB confirmation of the ALCS matchups.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedAaron Boone Is Considering Changes for Game 3. Here’s How the Yankees Should Line Up.10%
- SI FeedAaron Boone's Lack of Urgency Cost Yankees in Game 2, and Potentially Doomed Their Postseason Chances11%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesWhat's next for Yankees? After ugly playoffs sweep, Aaron Boone, Aaron Judge face the biggest questions2%▼8 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports HeadlinesGrading the Yankees hot seats: After playoff elimination, could Aaron Boone, Brian Cashman be out?2%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comAaron Boone Ripped by Fans with Yankees Swept Out of 2026 MLB Playoffs by Rays2%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comAaron Boone Describes 'Broken' Clubhouse, Ripped by Fans as Yankees Swept Out of MLB Playoffs2%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Aaron Boone Ripped by Fans with Yankees Swept Out of 2026 MLB Playoffs by Rays feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Aaron Boone Describes 'Broken' Clubhouse, Ripped by Fans as Yankees Swept Out of MLB Playoffs feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Grading the Yankees hot seats: After playoff elimination, could Aaron Boone, Brian Cashman be out? CBS Sports Headlines
- What's next for Yankees? After ugly playoffs sweep, Aaron Boone, Aaron Judge face the biggest questions CBS Sports Headlines
- Aaron Boone's Lack of Urgency Cost Yankees in Game 2, and Potentially Doomed Their Postseason Chances SI Feed
- Aaron Boone Is Considering Changes for Game 3. Here’s How the Yankees Should Line Up. SI Feed
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? 0% −10
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? 0% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Tampa Bay Rays advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? 100% +17
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?