World No 1 Sinner withdraws from Shanghai Masters due to knee injury Hot: Odds moved 17 points in 24 hours
The Italian tennis player has not competed since winning Wimbledon in July, having also missed the US Open and Beijing event.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 21:40 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 30% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 3 October at 11:51 UTC; SkySports followed 2h 56m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 3 October at 14:47 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SkySports.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Jannik Sinner — the market puts it at 7%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the PIF ATP singles rankings on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Jannik Sinner 7% −17
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In this story
- Jannik Sinner
- Shanghai Masters