WNBA Semifinals Preview: Aces-Valkyries and Liberty-Dream Matchups
Las Vegas faces Golden State while New York meets Atlanta in the opening semifinals this Sunday.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 06:40 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 02:59 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 01:36 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Sept, 23:58 UTC | 16% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 3 October at 17:06 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? — the market puts it at 24%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Las Vegas Aces are officially named the 2026 WNBA champions. The No outcome applies if they lose in the playoffs, if the season is cancelled or postponed past November 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if another team wins. Readers often mistake a playoff win for a championship victory, but only the final title matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? 24% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- WNBA
- Aces
- Valkyries
- Liberty
- Dream