Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Implied probability 36%+14
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$87k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves15 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 01:36 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Sept, 23:58 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Las Vegas Aces are officially named the 2026 WNBA champions. The No outcome applies if they lose in the playoffs, if the season is cancelled or postponed past November 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if another team wins. Readers often mistake a playoff win for a championship victory, but only the final title matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 65%
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