Las Vegas and New York Face Elimination in WNBA Semifinal Game 3s
Both teams must avoid elimination as the WNBA semifinals reach a critical juncture in their respective Game 3 matchups.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 06:06 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 20% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 22% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 24% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 32% |
| 4 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 30% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 9 October at 12:20 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? — resolved “No” on 10 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Las Vegas Aces are officially named the 2026 WNBA champions. The No outcome applies if they lose in the playoffs, if the season is cancelled or postponed past November 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if another team wins. Readers often mistake a playoff win for a championship victory, but only the final title matters.
- Las Vegas — the market puts it at 17%, closing 15 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas hosts a playoff game during the 2026-27 season, excluding the Super Bowl. It resolves to No if no such game occurs in that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news about concert residencies for relevant events or confuse the deadline with the start of the regular season.
- Regular Season — the market puts it at 66%, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the Las Vegas Pro Football team is eliminated during the 2026-27 Regular Season. It resolves to No if they are not eliminated in that specific period. Readers often mistake the linked WNBA story for the relevant event, but only the football team's regular season status matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 2h ago
The market favoured No at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Las Vegas 17%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Regular Season 66% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Las Vegas
- New York
- WNBA