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White House Defends Press Aide Who Posed With Rifle In Anti-Biden Shirt

The White House defends Beni Rae Harmony, a new press aide who previously wore a 'Fuck Joe Biden' shirt in a photo.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 4 Oct 2026 · updated 3h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Ben Shapiro
0%50%100%7%3 Oct, 23:10 UTCnowThe Guardian US: White House defends new press aide who posed with rifle in ‘Fuck Joe Biden’ shirt · 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now7%
3 Oct, 23:10 UTC7%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 4 October at 23:38 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Ben Shapiro — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Ben Shapiro attends a White House press briefing in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after this question's issuance and before 2027. The outcome is No if he does not attend such a briefing within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the location, thinking any White House event counts, but only briefings in the specific Brady room matter.
  • Anna Kelly — the market puts it at 21%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Anna Kelly becomes the next White House Press Secretary after the issuance date. It resolves to No if someone else takes that role first. Readers often mistake the current press aide in the linked story for the official Press Secretary, but only the confirmed successor counts.
  • Joe Biden — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Joe Biden enters the White House between December 10, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not visit during that window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a press aide for the actual event required to resolve the market.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. White House defends new press aide who posed with rifle in ‘Fuck Joe Biden’ shirt The Guardian US ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Ben Shapiro 7% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Anna Kelly 21% −1 $4k 24hends 21 Jan 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Joe Biden 3% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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