Joe Biden
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Joe Biden enters the White House between December 10, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not visit during that window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a press aide for the actual event required to resolve the market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%