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Wales beat Japan 28-21 in Nations Championship

Josh Adams scores twice as Wales secure a bonus-point victory over Japan despite a lacklustre performance.

3 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 7 Nov 2026 · updated 48m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by SkySports, 5h 36m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Wales
0%50%100%1%6 Nov, 18:46 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Louis Rees-Zammit helps edge Wales to unconvincing victory against Japan · 7 Nov, 18:46 UTCBBC Sport: Highlights: Wales 28-21 Japan · 7 Nov, 19:02 UTCBBC Sport: Wales labour to bonus-point win against Japan · 7 Nov, 18:43 UTCSkySports: Wales outlast Japan despite nervy finish · 7 Nov, 13:07 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
6 Nov, 18:46 UTC1%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 7 Nov 2026. SkySports published first, on 7 November at 13:07 UTC; BBC Sport followed 5h 37m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 7 November at 19:02 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Wales — the market puts it at 1%, closing 15 Aug 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Wales wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship. It resolves to No if any other team wins that tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about the upcoming Nations Championship match against Japan, but the outcome depends solely on the 2028 Euro title.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Wales at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SkySportsWales outlast Japan despite nervy finish1%
  2. BBC SportWales labour to bonus-point win against Japan1%
  3. The Guardian SportLouis Rees-Zammit helps edge Wales to unconvincing victory against Japan1%
  4. BBC SportHighlights: Wales 28-21 Japan1%
  5. Current odds1%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Louis Rees-Zammit helps edge Wales to unconvincing victory against Japan The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Highlights: Wales 28-21 Japan BBC Sport
  3. Wales labour to bonus-point win against Japan BBC Sport
  4. Wales outlast Japan despite nervy finish SkySports

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Wales 1% $0 24hends 15 Aug 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Wales
  • Japan
  • Josh Adams
  • Louis Rees-Zammit
  • Steve Tandy
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