Wales
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves15 Aug 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 18:46 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Wales wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship. It resolves to No if any other team wins that tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about the upcoming Nations Championship match against Japan, but the outcome depends solely on the 2028 Euro title.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%