Venezuelans Demand Elections After Maduro Capture
Protesters call for a successor as no date is set following the former president's capture by US forces.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 76% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 76% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 77% |
| 22 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 75% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 07:50 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 77% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 74% |
| 19 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 73% |
| 19 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 72% |
| 18 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 72% |
| 18 Oct, 07:35 UTC | 72% |
| 18 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 72% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 72% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 23 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 23 October at 03:12 UTC; Latest articles followed 1h 47m later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 23 October at 04:59 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Latest articles.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — the market puts it at 76%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on who officially holds the position of head of state in Venezuela at 12 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake a person’s appointment date or media reports for the actual moment they assume power, but only confirmed, sworn-in leaders count. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly identify its head of state, the United Nations list serves as the final authority.
- Nicolás Maduro — the market puts it at 83%, with $687 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Nicolás Maduro officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
- Nicolás Maduro — the market puts it at 1%, with $43 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nicolás Maduro is the de facto head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026. It resolves to No if he does not hold that position by that date. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? 76% −1
Does the market have this right?
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- Kalshi Nicolás Maduro 83% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Nicolás Maduro 1% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Nicolas Maduro
- United States