Nicolás Maduro
Implied probability 83%+3
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 15 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 83% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 79% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 76% |
| 14 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 78% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Nicolás Maduro officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 83%
- No 17%