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Maduro Pleads Not Guilty to US Torture Charges in New York Court

Venezuela's former president and his wife deny new conspiracy charges, with a judge entering not guilty pleas on their behalf.

4 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 15 Oct 2026 · updated 43m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, 27 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
0%50%100%62%8 Oct, 19:58 UTCnowThe Guardian: Nicolás Maduro tells New York court new torture allegations are ‘false’ · 15 Oct, 16:38 UTCAl Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Venezuela’s Maduro pleads not guilty to US conspiracy to torture charges · 15 Oct, 16:04 UTCTimes of India: ‘False accusations’: Maduro, wife rejects fresh torture allegations in New York court · 15 Oct, 17:25 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Venezuela’s Maduro says new US torture allegations are ‘false’ · 15 Oct, 16:32 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now62%
15 Oct, 17:18 UTC62%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC60%
15 Oct, 14:27 UTC51%
15 Oct, 07:00 UTC50%
15 Oct, 06:46 UTC51%
14 Oct, 08:43 UTC56%
14 Oct, 08:29 UTC55%
13 Oct, 14:13 UTC55%
12 Oct, 12:49 UTC56%
9 Oct, 22:58 UTC55%
9 Oct, 20:55 UTC55%
9 Oct, 20:12 UTC56%
9 Oct, 04:33 UTC55%
9 Oct, 04:08 UTC55%
9 Oct, 02:28 UTC56%
9 Oct, 01:49 UTC55%
9 Oct, 00:30 UTC56%
9 Oct, 00:23 UTC55%
8 Oct, 23:23 UTC55%
8 Oct, 22:29 UTC56%
8 Oct, 20:27 UTC56%
8 Oct, 19:58 UTC57%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 15 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 15 October at 16:04 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 15 October at 17:25 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), South China Morning Post, Times of India.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? — the market puts it at 62%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The "Yes" outcome occurs if Maduro receives no jail or prison time in his first sentencing for this specific indictment by December 31, 2027. The "No" outcome happens if he is sentenced to any period of incarceration for these charges before that deadline. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but only official U.S. court records or credible consensus reporting count, not general news speculation.
  • Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? — the market puts it at 68%, with $24k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on who officially holds the position of head of state in Venezuela at 12 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake a person’s appointment date or media reports for the actual moment they assume power, but only confirmed, sworn-in leaders count. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly identify its head of state, the United Nations list serves as the final authority.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraVenezuela’s Maduro pleads not guilty to US conspiracy to torture charges51%
  2. South China Morning PostVenezuela’s Maduro says new US torture allegations are ‘false’51%
  3. The GuardianNicolás Maduro tells New York court new torture allegations are ‘false’51%
  4. Times of India‘False accusations’: Maduro, wife rejects fresh torture allegations in New York court62%▲11 points since the previous source
  5. Current odds62%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Nicolás Maduro tells New York court new torture allegations are ‘false’ The Guardian ·
  2. Venezuela’s Maduro pleads not guilty to US conspiracy to torture charges Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
  3. ‘False accusations’: Maduro, wife rejects fresh torture allegations in New York court Times of India
  4. Venezuela’s Maduro says new US torture allegations are ‘false’ South China Morning Post

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? 62% +7 $3k 24hends 1 Jan 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? 68% −3 $24k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Nicolás Maduro
  • Cilia Flores
  • Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein
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