US and Denmark Reach Security Deal for Greenland

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 18 Sept, 21:19Fox News PoliticsTrump declares victory in historic deal with Greenland as he secures 'permanent' US military rights3%
2. 18 Sept, 21:44Just In NewsTrump: US strikes security deal with Greenland, Denmark3%
3. 18 Sept, 21:48Sky NewsTrump says US has entered deal with Denmark giving US control over security on Greenland3%
4. 18 Sept, 21:49South China Morning PostTrump claims US Greenland security deal, China reportedly among adversaries being kept out3%
5. 18 Sept, 21:53Deutsche WelleDeal with Denmark gives US 'permanent control' over Greenland security, Trump says3%
6. 18 Sept, 21:55Times of IndiaUS reaches deal with Denmark for ‘permanent security control’ over Greenland3%
7. 18 Sept, 22:01Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump says deal with Denmark gives US ‘permanent control’ over Greenland3%
8. 18 Sept, 22:18France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTrump says US, Denmark reach deal to expand military presence in Greenland3%
9. 18 Sept, 22:43AxiosTrump claims security, military deal with Denmark over Greenland3%
10. 18 Sept, 22:48International homepageTrump says US has deal with Denmark for ‘control’ of Greenland’s security3%
11. Show 15 later sources

    1. 18 Sept, 23:52FortuneAfter threatening to seize Greenland by force, Trump agrees to leave it with Denmark and boost military presence. ‘We will be very protective of it!’3%
    2. 18 Sept, 23:56Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump says Denmark deal gives US security ‘control’ over Greenland3%
    3. 19 Sept, 00:57Latest articlesTrump claims ‘infinite’ Greenland security deal with Denmark3%
    4. 19 Sept, 00:58CBS NewsTrump says he's struck deal for "permanent control over security" in Greenland3%
    5. 19 Sept, 00:59Washington PostTrump hails Greenland security deal that falls short of takeover3%
    6. 19 Sept, 01:01The Guardian USUS and Denmark reach security deal after Trump’s threats to take over Greenland3%
    7. 19 Sept, 01:12Bloomberg.comUS Deal on Greenland with Denmark,Google Discloses AI Hacks,More3%
    8. 19 Sept, 02:04Bloomberg.comSecurity Deal on Greenland, Google Joins in Disclosing AI Hacks3%
    9. 19 Sept, 02:48Bloomberg.comUS Greenland Deal with Denmark, Google Discloses AI Hacks, More3%
    10. 19 Sept, 03:21Times of IndiaTrump’s Greenland deal: How Arctic pact bolsters Golden Dome against Russia, China3%
    11. 19 Sept, 03:35Bloomberg.comGoogle Discloses AI Hacks, Trump Says US Has Deal on Greenland3%
    12. 19 Sept, 04:04Sky NewsWhat do we know about Trump's deal with Denmark over Greenland?3%
    13. 19 Sept, 04:44NPR WorldUS and Denmark reach deal to build US military presence in Greenland3%
    14. 19 Sept, 07:35Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump ‘settled for less’ with new US-Denmark Greenland security deal3%
    15. 19 Sept, 08:48France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS and Denmark reach deal on Greenland, Trump claims 'permanent control' over island4%▲1 points since the previous source
12. NowCurrent odds3%