US allies seek post-regime deals in Cuba as sanctions drive out foreign firms
Washington and Florida insiders are exploring lucrative deals for a post-communist Cuba while new US secondary sanctions force companies like Visa and Mastercard to leave.
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The odds
All 1 source published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 17 Sept, 12:02 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Sept 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 17 September at 11:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? — the market puts it at 7%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Polymarket Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? 7%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Rubio
- Cuba
- Visa
- Mastercard