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UFC 336 Card Set With Van-Kape Flyweight Title Fight After Makhachev Withdrawal Hot: Odds moved 19 points in 24 hours

Carlos Prates replaces Islam Makhachev to face Michael Morales for the interim welterweight title on a card headlined by Joshua Van and Manel Kape.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 24 Oct 2026 · updated 40m ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by feeds.bleacherreport.com, 3 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

The odds

How the odds moved · Michael Morales
0%50%100%30%23 Oct, 20:06 UTCnowwww.espn.com: UFC's Makhachev unable to defend title; interim title bout booked · 24 Oct, 20:25 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: UFC 336 fight card: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape, Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales set for Toronto · 24 Oct, 19:55 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales Headlines UFC 336 Card After Islam Makhachev Rumors · 24 Oct, 19:51 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now30%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC30%
23 Oct, 20:06 UTC11%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 24 Oct 2026. feeds.bleacherreport.com published first, on 24 October at 19:51 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 4 min later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 24 October at 20:25 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), feeds.bleacherreport.com, CBS Sports Headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Michael Morales — the market puts it at 30%, with $184 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Michael Morales holds the UFC Welterweight Title on December 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
  • Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 96%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Islam Makhachev must hold the official UFC Welterweight title at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026 for the Yes outcome. Interim champions do not count, and a vacant belt results in an Other resolution. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story or interim status for the final championship standing.
  • Manel Kape — the market puts it at 7%, with $329 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Manel Kape holds the UFC Flyweight Title on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold the title at that specific moment. Readers often mistake the date of the linked fight for the resolution deadline.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Michael Morales at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. feeds.bleacherreport.comCarlos Prates vs. Michael Morales Headlines UFC 336 Card After Islam Makhachev Rumors11%
  2. CBS Sports HeadlinesUFC 336 fight card: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape, Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales set for Toronto11%
  3. www.espn.comUFC's Makhachev unable to defend title; interim title bout booked30%▲19 points since the previous source
  4. Current odds30%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. UFC's Makhachev unable to defend title; interim title bout booked www.espn.com ·
  2. UFC 336 fight card: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape, Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales set for Toronto CBS Sports Headlines
  3. Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales Headlines UFC 336 Card After Islam Makhachev Rumors feeds.bleacherreport.com

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Michael Morales 30% +19 $184 24hends 31 Dec 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? 96% +1 $2k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Manel Kape 7% +6 $329 24hends 31 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Joshua Van
  • Manel Kape
  • Carlos Prates
  • Michael Morales
  • Islam Makhachev
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