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Manel Kape

Implied probability 6%+5
24-hour volume$329
Total volume$41k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves31 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 20:23 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: UFC 336 fight card: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape, Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales set for Toronto — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Manel Kape
0%50%100%6%23 Oct, 20:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC7%
23 Oct, 20:11 UTC1%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Manel Kape holds the UFC Flyweight Title on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold the title at that specific moment. Readers often mistake the date of the linked fight for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 6%
  • No 94%

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