Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Implied probability 96%+1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 96% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 96% |
| 23 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 95% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Islam Makhachev must hold the official UFC Welterweight title at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026 for the Yes outcome. Interim champions do not count, and a vacant belt results in an Other resolution. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story or interim status for the final championship standing.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%
Trade this market on Polymarket →