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Michael Morales

Implied probability 30%+19
24-hour volume$184
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Dec 2027

Why it moved: +19 points at 20:23 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: UFC 336 fight card: Joshua Van vs. Manel Kape, Carlos Prates vs. Michael Morales set for Toronto — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Michael Morales
0%50%100%30%23 Oct, 20:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now30%
24 Oct, 20:23 UTC30%
23 Oct, 20:06 UTC11%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Michael Morales holds the UFC Welterweight Title on December 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 30%
  • No 70%

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