Two Ex-FBI Officials Charged With Lying About Hunter Biden Laptop Investigation
Former FBI intelligence officials Nikki Floris and Bradley Benavides surrendered in Washington DC after being charged with making false statements to Congress regarding their roles in the probe.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CBS News Politics, 19 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 23 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 23 October at 14:45 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 19 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 23 October at 16:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Joe Biden — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Joe Biden is formally charged with a federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such charge occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake this for any investigation or allegation rather than requiring an actual formal charge.
- Hunter Biden — the market puts it at 8%, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about FBI officials for the resolution criteria, but only an official act of clemency counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Joe Biden at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS News Politics2 ex-FBI officials charged with lying about Hunter Biden's laptop3%
- Fox News PoliticsEx-FBI officials arrested in Hunter Biden laptop probe as testimony comes under scrutiny3%
- NPR PoliticsEx-FBI employees charged with lying to Congress over Hunter Biden inquiries3%
- The GuardianTwo ex-FBI officials charged with lying about investigation into Hunter Biden’s laptop3%
- Current odds3%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Two ex-FBI officials charged with lying about investigation into Hunter Biden’s laptop The Guardian ·
- Ex-FBI employees charged with lying to Congress over Hunter Biden inquiries NPR Politics ·
- 2 ex-FBI officials charged with lying about Hunter Biden's laptop CBS News Politics ·
- Ex-FBI officials arrested in Hunter Biden laptop probe as testimony comes under scrutiny Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Joe Biden 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Hunter Biden 8% +7
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Hunter Biden
- FBI
- Nikki Floris
- Bradley Benavides