Hunter Biden
Why it moved: +7 points at 16:50 UTC, after The Guardian: Two ex-FBI officials charged with lying about investigation into Hunter Biden’s laptop — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term and before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about FBI officials for the resolution criteria, but only an official act of clemency counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%