Tuchel believes England have unlocked new level with tactical tweaks Hot: Odds moved 14 points in 24 hours
The head coach says players have embraced his ideas to play with greater freedom while maintaining aggression in the high press.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 31% |
| 7 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 27% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 29% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 33% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 39% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 35% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 26% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 20% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch England respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 7 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 7 October at 11:06 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 6h 53m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 7 October at 18:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- England — the market puts it at 34%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if England wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake a single match victory, like the one against Croatia, for winning the entire championship.
- Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? — the market puts it at 19%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. England wins if they are the final champion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if England is eliminated from contention before the tournament concludes. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire competition.
- England — the market puts it at 7%, with $479 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Jan 2031. England must win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on England being crowned champion of that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the deadline as the end of the final match rather than the official announcement of the winner.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on England at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportTuchel's England 2.0: what has changed?33%
- The Guardian SportAll aboard the Tuchel train? England camp has clear winners and losers31%▼2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportEngland ready to level up and embrace ‘calculated risks’, claims Tuchel31%
- Current odds34%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi England 34% +14
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? 19% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi England 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Thomas Tuchel
- England
- Jarell Quansah